- San Diego State is a 7.5 point underdog for the National Championship game against UConn.
- With +300 odds to beat UConn, betting on San Diego State would come with a three times payout.
- San Diego State has gone 7-2 ATS in March and has gone 3-2 ATS as the underdog this season.
HOUSTON – The San Diego State Aztecs have made it to the 2023 March Madness Final and are seven-and-a-half-point underdog against the UConn Huskies. Connecticut has been the best team in the tournament this far, beating every team by a minimum of 13 points.
National Championship Game Lines
| Moneyline: | Spread: | Total: |
|---|---|---|
| Aztecs +300/Huskies -380 | Aztecs +7.5 (-110)/Huskies -7.5 (-110) | Over 132.5 (-110)/Under 132.5 (-110) |
Betting on San Diego State’s ML at +300 as the underdog would payout three times any wager out on the game. During the 2022-23 season, San Diego State has gone 3-2 as an underdog, with two of these wins coming from the Sweet Sixteen and the Elite Eight.
The Aztecs have allowed only 63 points per game during the season and have scored an average of 70. While UConn has allowed their opponents to score 64 points per game during the season, their offense has a higher average at 78.
Online gambling sites in the US would pay out $300 and a $100 wager on the Aztecs’ moneyline.
Betting on San Diego State to Cover
Over the entire 2022-23 season, San Diego State has a cover rate percentage of 54.3% but has been hot when it comes to covering the spread in March. They have gone 7-2 ATS over the last month and have only lost three games this season by over seven and a half points.
Before betting on San Diego State to cover at March Madness gambling sites it is important to understand the trends in favor of UConn. The Huskies have covered the spread in over 70% of their 2022-23 games, including all five games of March Madness.
While San Diego State finished their last game going 9/18 from three, they have not been an efficient three-point field goal team during the tournament. Outside of the Final Four matchup against FAU, San Diego State has gone 19-66 from deep in the tournament.
In order to cover against a UConn team that has a plus 103-point differential during March Madness, the Aztecs will have to either record another three point percentage at 50% or stick to playing tough defense and driving the ball.
The Aztecs have shown in this tournament that they can play to the level of their opponent. Their last two wins have been by one point each, with four of the give games in March Madness being by seven points or fewer.