The Michigan/TCU Line Moves 5 Points to Michigan -6.5

• TCU is a 7.5-point underdog to Michigan in the Fiesta Bowl.
• The Wolverines are fifth in offense and third in defense, an incredible combination of stats.
• The spread has moved from Michigan -1.0 to Michigan -7.5 in the last few weeks.

GLENDALE, Ariz. - The Fiesta Bowl – one of the two College Football Playoff Semifinals – features the TCU Horned Frogs taking on the Michigan Wolverines, with the Wolverines as significant favorites.

Fiesta Bowl – TCU vs. Michigan Spread Odds

• TCU -7.5 (-110)
• Michigan +7.5 (-110)

Both TCU and Michigan surprised the online sportsbooks this year, with TCU going 9-3 against the spread and Michigan going 8-4-1 against the spread.

The two teams have combined for only one loss this year, with TCU entering at 12-1 and Michigan at an undefeated 13-0.

The spread for this game opened at Michigan -1.0 at many online sportsbooks, but has ballooned significantly to Michigan -7.5, with signs of stabilization at that number, although many question if TCU even has a chance.

Michigan has failed to cover the spread in their last five bowl game appearances, but they have covered the spread in five of their last seven non-conference games.

TCU has not done well in neutral site games historically, covering the spread in only four of their last fifteen neutral site games.

This includes a fairly dismal ATS record in bowl games, as the Horned Frogs have gone 3-7 against the spread in their last ten bowl games.

College football betting fans should note that both teams seem to underperform in bowl games historically – but only one can fail to cover the spread in the Fiesta Bowl.

Fiesta Bowl – TCU vs. Michigan Totals Odds

• Over 58.0 -110
• Under 58.0 -110

The point total O/U for the game opened at 60.0 points at many sportsbooks, and while it has moved less drastically than the spread, it’s still seen some significant movement, dropping to 58.0.

In the last six games that TCU has played against Big Ten teams, the under has hit five times.

However, Michigan has hit the over in ten of their last fifteen bowl games, as well as four of their last five December games.

These are two very high-powered offenses. Michigan is fifth in the nation in scoring with 40.1 points per game, and TCU is eighth with 38.8 points per game.

Combined, these teams average almost 80 points per game, well above the 58.0 line that the online gambling sites have set.

This is because both teams have defenses that hold opponents well below what their offense produces.

TCU is 53rd in the nation in defense, allowing only 25.7 points per game, while Michigan is third, allowing only 13.4 points per game.

TCU and Michigan face off in the Fiesta Bowl, which will begin on Saturday at 4 p.m. EST.